Information Analysis
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1456. Risks to Energy, Fertilizer, and Fragile Economies Posed by Maritime Disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz
Rising military tensions in the Strait of Hormuz are disrupting maritime shipping flows and raising concerns about potential spillover effects on global markets. The United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) has released a preliminary report on the impacts of disruption in the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world's most important trade corridors, on global trade and development.
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1455. Data Shows a Significant Acceleration of Global Warming Since 2015
A new study by the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) analyzed data after excluding known natural factors affecting global temperature, demonstrating for the first time a statistically significant and powerful acceleration in global warming.
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1454. One Health Approach for Pandemic Prevention, Preparedness, and Response
Six years ago, the World Health Organization (WHO) declared the COVID-19 outbreak a Public Health Emergency of International Concern. COVID-19 is an example of a zoonotic disease that is believed to occur most frequently where agricultural food systems intersect with natural ecosystems. This has led to increased recognition of the importance of a One Health approach in pandemic prevention, preparedness, and response.
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1453. We Want to Produce Resilient and Delicious Rice! ~Taking on the Challenge of Combining the Best of Asian and African Rice~
Rice, our staple food, belongs to a cultivated species called Asian rice. In recent years, the area of rice cultivation has also been expanding in sub-Saharan Africa, as rice consumption has increased with ongoing urbanization. At the same time, rice species originally found in Africa possess valuable traits such as vigorous growth and resistance to diseases. If these characteristics could be combined with the high yield and good eating quality of Asian rice, it may be possible to develop new rice varieties that are better adapted to African environments while producing abundant and tasty harvests. We introduce the technical challenges involved in achieving this goal.
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1452. February 2026 World Food Price Trends
The FAO Food Price Index rose to 125.3 points in February 2026, up 0.9% from the revised January value. Increases in the cereal, meat, and vegetable oil price indexes outweighed declines in the dairy and sugar price indexes, resulting in the first increase after five consecutive months of declines. However, it still fell 1.0% year-on-year and is down 21.8% from its peak in March 2022.
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1451. Coastal Water Levels Are Much Higher Than Assumed in Most Coastal Hazard Assessments
The impacts of sea level rise and other hazards in coastal areas around the world depend on coastal sea level and land elevation. Problems with estimating these baselines could lead to underestimation of damage. A paper published in Nature revealed that previous studies and hazard assessments have underestimated coastal water level baselines by an average of 30 centimeters, suggesting that climate change-induced sea level rise could threaten tens of millions more people than originally thought.
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1450. 2026 El Niño Forecast
The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) has announced that the weak La Niña phenomenon may transition to a neutral state in the coming months and transition into an El Niño phenomenon by the end of 2026. The most recent El Niño event, which occurred from 2023 to 2024, produced many extreme weather events, and scientists have pointed to the influence of human-induced climate change.
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1449. Concerns about the Impact of the Conflicts on Fertilizer and Food Prices
The rapidly escalating conflict in the Middle East has led to the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. Some of the world's top urea exporters transport urea through the Strait of Hormuz, raising concerns that the blockade could also impact food prices.
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1448. Publication of “Green Asia Report Series: Rice Ratooning for Low-Input Rice Cultivation”
A report entitled “Rice Ratooning for Low-Input Rice Cultivation” has been published as part of the Green Asia Report Series, which aims to support the transformation of food systems in the Asia-Monsoon region by presenting foundational agricultural technologies that are scalable and transferable across diverse production environments. It is intended as a reference for a broad range of stakeholders, including policymakers, researchers, extension personnel, producers, and private-sector actors. The fifth issue focuses on the potential of ratoon rice cultivation as an approach to addressing labor shortages and environmental challenges in the Asia-Monsoon region.
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1447. Climate Change is Imminent in Coffee-Growing Regions
Climate Central, an independent research organization, has pointed out that the number of extremely hot days in the world's major coffee-producing regions is increasing annually due to the effects of human-induced climate change, potentially leading to reduced yields and rising coffee prices.
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1446. Information Dissemination and Discovery (Takaragawa’s Newsletter Vol. 12)
Researchers must possess not only the ability to conduct experiments but also the capacity to collect and organize research-related information and identify key issues. Furthermore, in today's information-saturated world where demand for information fluctuates, researchers are required to effectively utilize information-gathering tools such as generative AI, and to develop the ability to discern and select information, as well as to assess its validity. JIRCAS plays a role in collecting and disseminating information concerning food and environmental issues related to agriculture, forestry, and fisheries worldwide, with a focus on developing countries. We believe it is necessary to enhance our information-gathering capabilities while continuing to disseminate information that leads to new discoveries.
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1445. Record-Sized Melt of the Greenland Ice Sheet
In the climate change debate, the melting of the Greenland ice sheet and Arctic sea ice, along with permafrost melt, Antarctic ice sheet melt, and Amazon deforestation, are considered to be tipping elements (subsystems where the Earth undergoes large-scale, gradual, and irreversible changes). According to a study published in Nature Communications, climate change is significantly altering the Greenland ice sheet's extreme melting by making it more frequent, widespread, and intense.
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1444. FAO-JIRCAS Policy Brief Released
The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) has recently released a policy brief on the FAO-JIRCAS collaboration. The brief outlines recent achievements under JIRCAS's Environment, Food, and Information programs, including research activities on BNI, quinoa, and Green Asia, and introduces the collaborative relationship between FAO and JIRCAS.
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1443. Reflecting on the Impact of the Ukraine Invasion on Food Security
Four years ago, on February 24, 2022, Russia's invasion of Ukraine inflicted a new geopolitical shock on a world already facing supply chain disruptions due to the COVID-19 pandemic, dramatically increasing uncertainty surrounding food security. While food prices have now stabilized compared to their peak in March 2022, we must remain constantly vigilant regarding potential shock factors. Today, we will review blog posts dated February 24 over the past three years and examine the impact of the Ukraine invasion on food security.
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1442. The Amazon Became a Weak Net Carbon Emitter in 2023
The Amazon rainforest plays a vital role in the Earth system by storing large amounts of carbon in its biomass. However, disturbances such as droughts can affect the Amazon's carbon sink. A paper published in AGU Advances showed that the Amazon became a weak net carbon source under extreme drought conditions in 2023.
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1441. UN Calls for Fundamental Reform of Agricultural and Food Systems
Rising food prices and declining farm incomes are increasing pressure on the global food system. Last year, up to 720 million people worldwide faced hunger, billions lacked access to healthy diets, and it was reported that by 2024, the number of people suffering from chronic hunger would increase by 96 million compared to 2015. Against this backdrop, the United Nations has called for urgent investment and innovation to transform the global agri-food system.
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1440. The Impact of Future Droughts on Staple Crops and Global Food Insecurity
By 2050, the global population is projected to reach approximately 9.8 billion people, with food demand expected to increase by 30-62%. Meanwhile, increasing drought severity casts a significant shadow over global food security. A new study published in Nature Communications quantifies the impact of future droughts on staple crops and global food insecurity in an unprecedented way, emphasizing that the future of food security depends on climate adaptation and international cooperation.
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1439. The Significance of the Repeal of Greenhouse Gas Emission Regulations in the US
In the United States, one of the world's largest emitters of greenhouse gases, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) proposed on February 12, 2026, to revoke the "hazardous" designation of greenhouse gases (GHGs) established after years of scientific review. This could lead to a significant relaxation of GHG emission regulations. Here is an article from the World Resources Institute (WRI) on the implications of this regulatory reversal.
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1438. Ocean Warming Exacerbates Tropical Coral Bleaching
Ocean warming is increasing the frequency, extent, and severity of tropical coral bleaching and mortality. The global coral bleaching event that occurred from 2014 to 2017 was more widespread and devastating than any other bleaching event in recorded history. A paper published in Nature Communications analyzed data from coral reef surveys conducted around the world between 2014 and 2017 and found that more than half of the world's coral reefs experienced severe bleaching, more than 15% of the world's coral reefs were exposed to heat stress, and many coral species experienced rapid and severe mortality.
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1437. Research Challenges for Stable Cacao Production
Cacao (Theobroma cacao L.), the raw material for chocolate, is native to South America and cultivated primarily on small farms in West Africa, Southeast Asia, and Latin America. It is an important cash crop for tropical countries in these regions. In recent years, poor cacao harvests in West Africa have caused international cacao prices to soar, reaching an all-time high in January 2025. However, by January 2026, the price had fallen by nearly half compared to the same month last year. This article introduces literature on challenges in cacao breeding and cultivation, as well as knowledge on pest and disease control.