Impact of Agricultural Investments on World Wheat Market under Climate Change: Effects of Agricultural Knowledge and Innovation System, and Development and Maintenance of Infrastructure

JARQ : Japan Agricultural Research Quarterly
ISSN 00213551
書誌レコードID(総合目録DB) AA0068709X
The role of agricultural investment growth in alleviating climate risks for wheat production systems and markets was examined using a partial equilibrium model, the Wheat Economy Climate Change (WECC) model, which covers the wheat markets of 10 countries and two regions. This study examines how future agricultural investments will affect the world wheat market. The volatility of international wheat prices at baseline is expected to increase in 2014–2016 and until 2040 because of climate change. However, a constant increase in agricultural investments in major producing countries will contribute to international wheat price stability. In particular, agricultural investments in Russia are crucial for stabilizing international wheat prices in mid-long term under future climate change conditions.
作成者 KOIZUMI Tatsuji
著者キーワード partial equilibrium model wheat price price stability in mid-long term Russia and Ukraine
公開者 Japan International Research Center for Agricultural Sciences
受付日 2018-02-26
受理日 2018-07-18
開始ページ 109
終了ページ 125
DOI 10.6090/jarq.53.109
言語 eng