国立研究開発法人 国際農林水産業研究センター | JIRCAS

Climate Change Effects on Supply and Demand of Rice in India

JARQ : Japan Agricultural Research Quarterly
ISSN
00213551
書誌レコードID(総合目録DB)
AA0068709X
本文フルテキスト

This study was conducted to clarify how climate change is expected to affect the demand and supply of rice in India, an important rice-producing and rice-consuming nation. The method, a supply-demand model, includes six functions: yield, area, export, stock change, demand, and price linkage. To reflect topographic and climate diversity, these analyses use state data instead of national data. Results for rice supply show the benefits and shortcomings of temperature, precipitation, and solar radiation as determined by location and season. Scenario analyses that combine the three dimensions of Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) and Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) scenarios elucidate the future supply and demand of rice, revealing that rice production and per-capita consumption can be boosted most if India undergoes conventional development. Alternatively, a fragmented society that faces higher challenges regarding mitigation and adaptation is expected to engender lower rice yields. To maintain sufficient rice production, the government must undertake social development projects and adequately address climate change-related difficulties.

刊行年月2018-07-01
作成者Chih-min HUNG Lin ZHOUJun FURUYA
著者キーワードtemperatureprecipitationsolar radiationsocioeconomic scenarios
公開者Japan International Research Center for Agricultural Sciences
データ作成日2018-07-09
国立情報学研究所メタデータ主題語彙集(資源タイプ)Journal Article
52
3
開始ページ255
終了ページ272
DOI10.6090/jarq.52.255
言語eng