Management Strategy Evaluation of Fisheries Resources in Data-poor Situations Using an Operating Model Based on a Production Model
ISSN | 00213551 |
---|---|
書誌レコードID(総合目録DB) | AA0068709X |
The allowable biological catch (ABC) in Japanese fishery management is currently determined by applying harvest control rules, which are categorized into two types depending on whether or not stock-size information is available. We evaluate management procedures (MPs) in data-poor situations using an operating model (OM) based on a production model. The OM incorporates uncertainties regarding its assumptions and the process and observation errors of population dynamics and fishing processes, while the values of the MP parameters are determined to avoid stock collapses and low catches. We evaluated the MP formulation ABC = δ×Ct ×(1+k(b/I)), where δ is a coefficient dependent on the stock status level on the stock size, Ct is the catch in year t, k is the weight coefficient, b reflects the trend in stock abundance index over time, and I is the mean of the stock abundance index I. This study shows that smaller values of k reduce the frequency of substantially low catches, particularly when there is significant uncertainty surrounding the stock status. In addition, the value of δ affects both the frequency of fishery collapse as well as stock and catch sizes. We conclude that more reliable stock abundance indices are necessary if the stock size and catch are to stabilize and MPs become more robust to uncertainties.
刊行年月日 | |
---|---|
作成者 | OHSHIMO Seiji NAYA Miyako |
著者キーワード |
harvest control rules management procedure population dynamics |
公開者 | Japan International Research Center for Agricultural Sciences |
オンライン掲載日 | |
国立情報学研究所メタデータ主題語彙集(資源タイプ) | Journal Article |
巻 | 48 |
号 | 2 |
開始ページ | 237 |
終了ページ | 244 |
DOI | 10.6090/jarq.48.237 |
権利 | Japan International Research Center for Agricultural Sciences |
言語 | eng |