JIRCAS-CCFS Society Workshop "Effects of Climate Change and the Spread of COVID-19 on Food Supply and Demand: Food Security under Uncertainty"

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The global average air temperature increased by about 1.2°C since the Industrial Revolution in the mid-18th century, with the rate of temperature change increasing dramatically from around 1980. In May 2021, the World Meteorological Organization pointed out that the annual average air temperature will increase by more than 1.5°C above the Industrial Revolution era in the next five years, which means that the air temperature will reach the minimum target of the Paris Agreement. Such a surge in the air temperature could lead to more frequent extreme weather events and will have profound effects on food and nutrition security.

Many researchers have analyzed using various models how climate change associated with rising greenhouse gas concentrations will impact agricultural production. Each research study is important and has contributed to policy making mainly related to climate change adaption.

However, there are very few studies on the cost that will be incurred by farmers who adopt adaptation technologies and the effects of climate change on nutrition intake.

Therefore, we would like to share the results of our team’s findings with audiences who are interested in the effects of climate change on the agricultural sector focusing on the cost of adaptation to climate change and the impacts of climate change on the agricultural markets.

Furthermore, we will give a report on the effects of the spread of COVID-19, which has been a major issue since last year, on future food supply.

Through this workshop, we hope to deepen our understanding of agricultural production and market analyses under climate change and uncertain events such as the spread of COVID-19, as well as raise awareness on food security and climate change mitigation measures.

 

Organized by

Japan International Research Center for Agricultural Sciences

CCFS Society

Co-organized by

National Agriculture and Food Research Organization (NARO)

Date
Friday, December 17th, 2021, 11:30~ 16:15 (Door Open:11:00)(JST)
Place

Online (Zoom)

Program

11:00

 

Reception

11:30

11:50

Opening Remarks

Food supply and demand analysis - past, current, and future

Osamu Koyama (JIRCAS)

11:55

 

12:25

 

Keynote Speech

Impact of COVID-19 on food security and nutrition in Asia

David Dawe(FAO Regional Office for Asia and Pacific)

 

 

 

Session 1: Adaptation to Climate Change (Chairman: Jun Furuya)

12:30

 

12:50

Climate change adaptation cost to global production

Toshichika Iizumi (NARO)

12:55

 

13:15

 

Timeseries econometrics for climate change research

Tomoaki Nakatani (The University of Tokyo)

13:20

 

13:40

 

Decomposition of stable food avilability

Daisuke Sawauchi (Hokkaido University)

13:40

13:55

Break

 

 

 

Session 2: Effects of COVID-19 and Climate Change (Chairman: Tomoaki Nakatani)

13:55

 

14:15

 

The scope of global food projection models in the food security concept shifting emphasis on nutrition

Eiichi Kusano (JIRCAS)

14:20

 

14:40

 

Effects of COVID-19 on supply of food and nutrition in the world

Jun Furuya (JIRCAS)

14:45

 

 

15:05

 

 

Effects of climate change on global indica and japonica rice markets

Gen Furuhashi (Policy Research Institute, MAFF)

Tatsuji Koizumi (OECD)

15:05

15:20

Break

 

 

 

Session 3: Panel discussion (Chairman: Miyuki Iiyama)

15:20

 

 

16:05

 

 

Effects and countermeasures of climate change and the spread of COVID-19 on food and nutrition supply

    All speakers

16:05

 

16:15

 

Closing remarks:

Toshihiro Hasegawa (NARO)

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