Global Rice Market Projections Distinguishing Japonica and Indica Rice under Climate Change

Japan Agricultural Research Quarterly
ISSN 00213551
NII recode ID (NCID) AA0068709X
Full text
Rice is not strictly homogeneous commodity and the international rice market is largely divided into the japonica and indica rice markets. Both follow different market structures and the international prices of japonica and indica show different trends. We projected and simulated the future global japonica and indica rice markets under climate change in the long term, using a partial equilibrium model. The Rice Economy Climate Change (RECC) model thus developed covers the japonica and indica rice markets in 24 countries and regions as the entire world rice market. The simulation results suggest that the international price of japonica rice will be more volatile than that of indica rice, and that both price indicators will exhibit different trends due to the impact of long-term climate change.
Date of issued
Creator Tatsuji KOIZUMI Gen FURUHASHI
Subject rice varieties price volatility MIROC RCPs partial equilibrium model
Publisher Japan International Research Center for Agricultural Sciences
Received Date 2018-10-02
Accepted Date 2019-03-25
Volume 54
Issue 1
spage 63
epage 91
DOI 10.6090/jarq.54.63
Language eng

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